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A brand new 2024 election ballot could also be an outlier within the head-to-head matchup between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris with Trump main 10 weeks earlier than the 2024 presidential election.
What Occurred: Since Harris grew to become the Democratic Celebration candidate, which was formally confirmed along with her nomination on the DNC, she has led many polls.
However one ballot that differs is from conservative-leaning agency Rasmussen. The latest Rasmussen ballot exhibits Trump with a lead. Here is the newest, with the earlier ballot ends in parentheses.
Donald Trump: 49% (49%)
Kamala Harris: 46% (45%)
The ballot exhibits 2% of voters undecided and a couple of% of voters saying they might vote for one more candidate. With the ballot expanded past the head-to-head choices, the outcomes had been:
Donald Trump: 47%
Kamala Harris: 45%
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.: 4%
The ballot was performed between Aug. 15 and Aug. 21 and got here earlier than the Democratic Nationwide Conference had been accomplished and earlier than Kennedy suspended his marketing campaign, two key political occasions for the week.
Did You Know?
Why It is Vital: The ballot itself is an outlier, with Harris averaging a 2% lead in nationwide head-to-head polls as reported by RealClearPolling.
Even the Rasmussen ballot exhibiting Trump with a three-point lead is a big enchancment for the Democratic Celebration from the 10-point lead Trump had over Joe Biden in June earlier than Biden dropped out of the race.
Whereas Kennedy endorsed Trump, not all his supporters will shift over to the Republican ticket.
Trump may choose up 2% to three% primarily based on Kennedy Jr.’s assist, which may improve his lead in one of many few polls exhibiting him main over Harris.
The subsequent few nationwide polls from main polling companies publish Kennedy dropping out may very well be necessary indicators forward of a extremely anticipated presidential debate on Sept. 10.
Examine This Out:
Market Information and Knowledge dropped at you by Benzinga APIs
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